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Polymarket wallet 0xa3c87682bed351ec910ede57618fd74c34a82f7a · on Polymarket since Apr 7, 2026 · also shown as Improbable-Chicory
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,900 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.