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Polymarket wallet 0xa45922d1e4a5a534634a24a0a9e89ee929d7924b · on Polymarket since Nov 17, 2023 · also shown as Outgoing-Crest
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 6 | 54¢ → 44¢ | $2 | −$1 −18% |
| Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Iran officially join the war before February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Fed rate cut by March 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 295d | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BuyYes54¢ | $3 |
| 1002d | Fed rate cut by March 20? | BuyYes37¢ | $0 |
| 1025d | Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? | SellYes10¢ | $1 |
| 1025d | Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? | BuyNo24¢ | $0 |
| 1025d | Will Iran officially join the war before February? | BuyYes3¢ | $0 |
| 1025d | Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? | BuyNo14¢ | $2 |
| 1025d | Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? | SellYes10¢ | $1 |
| 1062d | [Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | BuyYes79¢ | $3 |
| 1066d | Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? | BuyYes10¢ | $1 |
| 1066d | Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? | BuyYes11¢ | $1 |
| 1071d | Cricket World Cup: India vs. Australia | BuyIndia69¢ | $1 |
| 1071d | Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? | BuyNo48¢ | $1 |
| 1071d | Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? | BuyYes24¢ | $1 |
| 1071d | Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? | BuyNo73¢ | $105 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.