| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 160d | Yes | 755 | 26¢ → 91¢ | $684 | +$487 +247% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 620 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $605 | +$87 +17% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Ends in 101d | Yes | 505 | 82¢ → 89¢ | $447 | +$35 +8.5% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 565 | 31¢ → 72¢ | $407 | +$234 +135% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 500 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $370 | +$19 +5.4% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 5d | Yes | 410 | 13¢ → 82¢ | $335 | +$283 +550% |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 355 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $289 | +$20 +7.3% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 395 | 22¢ → 68¢ | $267 | +$180 +207% |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 250 | 73¢ → 97¢ | $243 | +$59 +32% |
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 240 | 49¢ → 98¢ | $235 | +$116 +99% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 230 | 70¢ → 97¢ | $223 | +$61 +38% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?Ends in 48d | Yes | 230 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $184 | +$8 +4.4% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 565 | 67¢ → 27¢ | $153 | −$225 −60% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Ends in 80d | Yes | 205 | 61¢ → 67¢ | $137 | +$12 +9.5% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 395 | 75¢ → 31¢ | $122 | −$175 −59% |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Ends in 91d | Yes | 175 | 34¢ → 67¢ | $118 | +$59 +100% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?Ends in 251d | Yes | 230 | 34¢ → 45¢ | $104 | +$25 +32% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?Ends in 84d | Yes | 165 | 24¢ → 59¢ | $98 | +$58 +147% |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Ends in 160d | Yes | 105 | 66¢ → 91¢ | $96 | +$26 +38% |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 500 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $90 | −$6 −6.4% |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 5d | Yes | 200 | 39¢ → 43¢ | $86 | +$7 +8.9% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 3d | Yes | 85 | 45¢ → >99¢ | $85 | +$47 +122% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 47d | Yes | 140 | 50¢ → 58¢ | $81 | +$11 +16% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 435d | Yes | 150 | 61¢ → 54¢ | $81 | −$10 −11% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points?Ends in 251d | Yes | 230 | 15¢ → 33¢ | $75 | +$41 +121% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 5d | Yes | 410 | 84¢ → 18¢ | $72 | −$273 −79% |
| Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 160d | Yes | 755 | 44¢ → 10¢ | $72 | −$263 −79% |
| Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction?Ends in 251d | Yes | 230 | 14¢ → 28¢ | $64 | +$32 +98% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 125 | 59¢ → 51¢ | $63 | −$11 −14% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 13d | Yes | 80 | 78¢ → 75¢ | $60 | −$2 −3.6% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 65 | 51¢ → 90¢ | $58 | +$25 +75% |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 5d | Yes | 200 | 15¢ → 28¢ | $55 | +$25 +85% |
| Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?Ends in 78d | Yes | 65 | 61¢ → 81¢ | $52 | +$13 +32% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 115 | 38¢ → 46¢ | $52 | +$9 +20% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?Ends in 80d | Yes | 205 | 32¢ → 26¢ | $52 | −$13 −20% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 47d | Yes | 135 | 42¢ → 39¢ | $52 | −$5 −8.5% |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 90d | Yes | 63 | 52¢ → 78¢ | $49 | +$16 +49% |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Ends in 91d | Yes | 175 | 50¢ → 28¢ | $49 | −$38 −44% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 60 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $48 | +$2 +3.2% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 5d | Yes | 200 | 27¢ → 23¢ | $46 | −$8 −15% |
| Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 435d | Yes | 125 | 38¢ → 37¢ | $46 | −$2 −4.8% |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?Ends in 9d | Yes | 55 | 46¢ → 82¢ | $45 | +$20 +78% |
| Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 45 | 58¢ → 99¢ | $45 | +$18 +70% |
| Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | Yes | 125 | 13¢ → 35¢ | $44 | +$28 +177% |
| Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 355 | 8¢ → 12¢ | $44 | +$16 +60% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Ends in 48d | Yes | 230 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $42 | −$3 −7.1% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Ends in 4d | Yes | 45 | 67¢ → 94¢ | $42 | +$12 +40% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 45 | 72¢ → 93¢ | $42 | +$9 +29% |
| Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 48d | Yes | 85 | 30¢ → 46¢ | $39 | +$13 +52% |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Ends in 160d | Yes | 50 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $39 | +$1 +2.5% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Ends in 101d | Yes | 505 | 8¢ → 8¢ | $38 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 125 | 20¢ → 30¢ | $37 | +$12 +50% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?Ends in 80d | Yes | 120 | 25¢ → 31¢ | $37 | +$6 +21% |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 48d | Yes | 80 | 36¢ → 45¢ | $36 | +$7 +24% |
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 251d | Yes | 75 | 39¢ → 47¢ | $35 | +$6 +20% |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Ends in 12h | Yes | 35 | 86¢ → >99¢ | $35 | +$5 +16% |
| Will the season series between the Lions and Packers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 96d | Yes | 70 | 57¢ → 49¢ | $34 | −$6 −14% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 70 | 39¢ → 47¢ | $33 | +$6 +21% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 40 | 57¢ → 83¢ | $33 | +$10 +44% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 40d | Yes | 75 | 20¢ → 44¢ | $33 | +$18 +122% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Ends in 435d | Yes | 150 | 17¢ → 22¢ | $32 | +$6 +24% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31?Ends in 80d | Yes | 120 | 15¢ → 26¢ | $32 | +$13 +72% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 45 | 51¢ → 68¢ | $31 | +$8 +35% |
| Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 55 | 50¢ → 55¢ | $30 | +$3 +9.4% |
| Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 96d | Yes | 70 | 15¢ → 43¢ | $30 | +$20 +187% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 115 | 21¢ → 26¢ | $29 | +$5 +19% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 35 | 73¢ → 83¢ | $29 | +$4 +14% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31?Ends in 80d | Yes | 120 | 24¢ → 23¢ | $27 | −$2 −6.9% |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 251d | Yes | 75 | 51¢ → 36¢ | $27 | −$12 −30% |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Ends in 9d | Yes | 35 | 9¢ → 77¢ | $27 | +$24 +775% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?Ends in 40d | Yes | 75 | 20¢ → 33¢ | $25 | +$10 +66% |
| Will the biggest earthquake on October 23, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?Ends in 12h | Yes | 40 | 14¢ → 60¢ | $24 | +$18 +325% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026?Ends in 84d | Yes | 165 | 10¢ → 14¢ | $24 | +$8 +48% |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 500 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $23 | −$16 −41% |
| Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | Yes | 40 | 45¢ → 56¢ | $22 | +$4 +24% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 12d | Yes | 40 | 43¢ → 56¢ | $22 | +$5 +29% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 20-29 Premier League points?Ends in 251d | Yes | 230 | 6¢ → 10¢ | $22 | +$7 +50% |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?Ends in 7d | Yes | 65 | 35¢ → 34¢ | $22 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Ends in 84d | Yes | 165 | 18¢ → 13¢ | $22 | −$8 −27% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 70 | 18¢ → 31¢ | $21 | +$9 +67% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 435d | Yes | 60 | 37¢ → 36¢ | $21 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | Yes | 60 | 22¢ → 35¢ | $21 | +$8 +62% |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 13d | Yes | 80 | 14¢ → 25¢ | $20 | +$8 +73% |
| Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 30 | 53¢ → 65¢ | $19 | +$3 +21% |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 355 | 11¢ → 5¢ | $19 | −$19 −50% |
| Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 77d | Yes | 20 | 71¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$5 +37% |
| Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 55 | 24¢ → 34¢ | $18 | +$5 +42% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 30-49 Premier League points?Ends in 251d | Yes | 230 | 16¢ → 8¢ | $18 | −$19 −51% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Ends in 435d | Yes | 150 | 6¢ → 11¢ | $16 | +$8 +91% |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Ends in 7d | Yes | 65 | 37¢ → 25¢ | $16 | −$8 −33% |
| Will Anna Leigh Waters win exactly three Triple Crowns in the 2026-27 PPA Tour season?Ends in 205d | Yes | 60 | 13¢ → 27¢ | $16 | +$8 +103% |
| Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 435d | Yes | 125 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $16 | +$2 +13% |
| Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 251d | Yes | 75 | 2¢ → 21¢ | $15 | +$14 +1025% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?Ends in 101d | Yes | 505 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $15 | −$12 −44% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 7d | Yes | 15 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $15 | +$2 +14% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 20 | 56¢ → 72¢ | $14 | +$3 +28% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 4d | Yes | 20 | 65¢ → 70¢ | $14 | +$1 +7.3% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 45 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $14 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 5d | Yes | 50 | 23¢ → 27¢ | $14 | +$2 +17% |
| Will the season series between the Ravens and Bengals end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 96d | Yes | 25 | 45¢ → 53¢ | $13 | +$2 +18% |
