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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 63% | +3 pts | +6 pts | 62¢ · 64¢ (2¢) | $65 | in 69d |
| 7 | 31% | +2 pts | −5 pts | 30¢ · 31¢ (1¢) | $129 | in 69d |
| 8 | 4% | +2 pts | +2 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | $65 | in 69d |
| 10+ | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $65 | in 69d |
| 9 | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $68.6 | in 69d |
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Haradwaith35 sharesThis market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026. Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 63¢ for 6 means the market gives it about 63%.