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Polymarket wallet 0xa4dab08848c711c8c923d425afb1573196daf756 · on Polymarket since Nov 1, 2025 · also shown as Threadbare-Distribution
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 637 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$501 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 12-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,889 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 804 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$693 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 167 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$119 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6,588 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,638 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,480 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$741 −100% |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 663 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$460 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,244 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,116 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.