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Polymarket wallet 0xa53e8fc4c2f9910e584de69d8b40a502a638218d · on Polymarket since Feb 11, 2026 · also shown as Flawed-Molecule
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 68,529 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $68,255 | +$3,162 +4.9% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 18,978 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $18,029 | +$116 +0.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 121,172 | 18¢ → 13¢ | $15,147 | −$6,677 −31% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8,763 | 24¢ → 21¢ | $1,796 | −$347 −16% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 270 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $223 | −$4 −1.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 6,346 | 13¢ → 1¢ | $54 | −$759 −93% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 580 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $32 | −$9 −21% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 24 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.