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Polymarket wallet 0xa5b0ecedcb95f514b9dd7ab9eb2db6fb660074fa · on Polymarket since Jan 13, 2025 · also shown as Gleaming-Toaster
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 390 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 238 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,033 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. MagicSettled - ready to redeem | Magic | 91 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 544 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 639d | Trail Blazers vs. Magic | BuyMagic75¢ | $69 |
| 639d | Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election? | BuyYes10¢ | $10 |
| 639d | Warriors vs. Kings | BuyKings64¢ | $50 |
| 640d | Suns vs. Nets | BuySuns82¢ | $41 |
| 640d | Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes5¢ | $30 |
| 649d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyNo13¢ | $50 |
| 649d | Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes8¢ | $30 |
| 649d | Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes21¢ | $50 |
| 649d | Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? | BuyYes9¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.