Teshub

Polymarket wallet 0xa5d3be6c4ef51b9e5f69b21be3e8c4a692c4a6c6 · on Polymarket since Apr 22, 2025 · also shown as Only-Reunion

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $1.17K
All-time profit: +$13.6K
Volume traded: $207K
All-time rank: #11,391
Markets traded: 164
Recent hit rate: 64%32 of last 50 closed

Open positions

16 markets · $1.17K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	400	88¢ → 96¢	$385	+$34 +9.8%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d	No	250	82¢ → 97¢	$243	+$38 +19%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 16h	No	632	30¢ → 29¢	$185	−$6 −3.1%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?Ends in 68d	No	132	94¢ → 99¢	$131	+$6 +5.1%
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 16h	Yes	962	20¢ → 14¢	$130	−$61 −32%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?Ends in 68d	No	81	95¢ → 99¢	$80	+$3 +3.7%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?Ends in 68d	No	7	95¢ → 98¢	$7	+$0 +3.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?Ends in 68d	No	5	93¢ → 98¢	$5	+$0 +5.8%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	60	79¢ → 0¢	$0	−$47 −100%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in August?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	100	82¢ → 0¢	$0	−$82 −100%
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Settled - ready to redeem	No	140	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$66 −100%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	15,273	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,355 −100%
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	25	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	315	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$41 −100%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	163	84¢ → 0¢	$0	−$137 −100%
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	55	91¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
7d	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	BuyYes20¢	$11
9d	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	BuyYes20¢	$183
9d	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SellYes96¢	$192
9d	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	BuyNo30¢	$196
9d	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	BuyYes18¢	$3
9d	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	SellYes10¢	$200
38d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes13¢	$43
38d	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	SellYes12¢	$43
55d	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	BuyYes17¢	$4
58d	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	BuyNo47¢	$67
62d	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	BuyYes12¢	$20
62d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	SellYes10¢	$9
63d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	SellYes10¢	$10
63d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	SellYes10¢	$5
63d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	SellYes10¢	$8
63d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	SellYes10¢	$0
63d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	SellYes10¢	$37
64d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	SellYes10¢	$2
68d	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	BuyYes13¢	$27
68d	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BuyYes85¢	$86
69d	Will PFC CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-16?	BuyYes75¢	$102
72d	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	BuyYes11¢	$162
72d	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	BuyYes11¢	$9
72d	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	BuyYes11¢	$0
73d	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	BuyYes11¢	$2
73d	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	BuyYes11¢	$22
73d	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	BuyYes11¢	$0
73d	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	BuyYes11¢	$4
73d	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	BuyYes11¢	$20
74d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	BuyYes58¢	$116
74d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	BuyYes62¢	$315
79d	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BuyYes88¢	$259
80d	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BuyYes89¢	$184
80d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	SellYes17¢	$36
80d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?	BuyYes57¢	$303
81d	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	BuyYes79¢	$48
81d	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in August?	BuyYes62¢	$66
81d	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in August?	BuyYes77¢	$12
81d	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in August?	BuyYes77¢	$7
81d	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in August?	BuyYes77¢	$6
81d	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in August?	BuyYes77¢	$5
81d	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in August?	BuyYes77¢	$20
81d	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in August?	BuyYes77¢	$23
81d	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in August?	BuyYes77¢	$4
81d	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in August?	BuyYes91¢	$40
81d	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in August?	BuyYes91¢	$51
82d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	BuyYes44¢	$99
82d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	BuyYes77¢	$175
82d	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in August?	BuyYes95¢	$190
83d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?	BuyYes85¢	$170
83d	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in August?	BuyYes82¢	$82
83d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?	BuyNo94¢	$125
83d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?	BuyNo95¢	$7
83d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?	BuyNo95¢	$77
83d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	BuyNo93¢	$5
84d	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	SellYes2¢	$29
84d	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	SellYes2¢	$4
84d	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	SellYes2¢	$0
84d	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	BuyYes3¢	$16
84d	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	BuyYes3¢	$6

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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