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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 100% | +9 pts | +29 pts | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Real Madrid | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barcelona | 0% | −1 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manchester City | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chelsea | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arsenal | 0% | −9 pts | −13 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Team A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52d | tphhh3 fills | Atletico Madrid | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,391 | +$45 +0.4% | 4 |
| 52d | tphhh | Barcelona | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,193 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 52d | Snappy-Capability-Fillet2 fills | Barcelona | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $2,781 | −$2,781 −100% | 12 |
| 52d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | Arsenal | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,183 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 52d | isaac1688 | Atletico Madrid | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,946 | −$106 −2.1% | — |
| 52d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | Barcelona | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,182 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 52d |  p1252 | Barcelona | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,683 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 52d | p1252 | Arsenal | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,291 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 52d | p1252 | Atletico Madrid | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,781 | +$30 +0.8% | 4 |
| 53d | thoodr | Chelsea | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,942 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 53d | Unsteady-Quinoa7 fills | Barcelona | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $28,862 | +$766 +2.7% | 4 |
| 53d | vrooomvrooom | Atletico Madrid | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,603 | −$302 −19% | — |
| 53d | Wrathful-Buckwheat | Atletico Madrid | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$448 +22% | 7 |
| 53d | Unsteady-Quinoa3 fills | Arsenal | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $6,676 | +$985 +15% | 5 |
| 54d |  HorribleWork | Arsenal | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,662 | +$338 +20% | 7 |
| 54d | jinwujinshu | Atletico Madrid | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | −$554 −44% | — |
| 54d |  0x7A3fB92cD8e46A5F0C91dE27B6a8E4C3D5F1029 | Atletico Madrid | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | −$239 −23% | — |
| 54d | thoodr | Barcelona | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,552 | +$48 +1.9% | 4 |
| 54d | rago | Barcelona | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$40 +3.9% | 5 |
| 55d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Arsenal | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$300 +18% | 5 |
| 55d | 0x7A3fB92cD8e46A5F0C91dE27B6a8E4C3D5F1029 | Atletico Madrid | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$264 +26% | 5 |
| 55d |  rebanna | Arsenal | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | −$160 −15% | — |
| 56d | isaac1688 | Atletico Madrid | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $3,150 | +$1,650 +52% | 6 |
| 56d |  ElFutbolero | Atletico Madrid | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$1,521 +42% | 6 |
| 57d | k00pa | Barcelona | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,954 | +$46 +2.3% | 4 |
| 57d | Thanks4TheMoney | Atletico Madrid | SellNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,296 | +$1,296 +100% | — |
| 57d | Thanks4TheMoney | Atletico Madrid | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,032 | −$1,032 −100% | 6 |
| 58d |  RVGym | Atletico Madrid | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | −$589 −57% | — |
| 59d | bitcoinhold | Atletico Madrid | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$564 +49% | 4 |
| 59d |  usurper55 | Atletico Madrid | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,368 | +$853 +62% | 4 |
| 65d | Obey2162 | Atletico Madrid | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,298 | +$338 +10% | 4 |
| 66d | Georgeamus1 | Atletico Madrid | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | −$228 −22% | — |
| 66d | Georgeamus1 | Atletico Madrid | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$379 +38% | 4 |
| 77d | kertes | Atletico Madrid | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,965 | +$1,195 +61% | 4 |
| 127d | AiBird | Atletico Madrid | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $1,059 | −$1,059 −100% | 4 |
SupermanFrank28 shares
crypto-basenji2,389 sharesRVGym1,400 shares
meagainsttheworld961 sharesThis market will resolve to the next team Julian Alvarez officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Julian Alvarez does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Atletico Madrid". If Julian Alvarez joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Julian Alvarez is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Atletico Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Atletico Madrid means the market gives it about 100%.