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Polymarket wallet 0xaa212896a9ccc86ae6480078f8f7a49edd7299f1 · on Polymarket since Oct 14, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 62 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in October 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 175 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Houthi strike on Israel by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Another NATO article 4 by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 105 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 372d | Russia coup attempt in 2025? | SellYes3¢ | $1 |
| 374d | Will Israel strike 2 countries in October 2025? | BuyYes14¢ | $2 |
| 374d | Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31? | SellYes3¢ | $2 |
| 374d | Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $2 |
| 374d | Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31? | BuyYes5¢ | $3 |
| 374d | Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31? | BuyYes3¢ | $2 |
| 374d | Another NATO article 4 by October 15? | BuyYes3¢ | $3 |
| 374d | Houthi strike on Israel by October 15? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 374d | US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31? | BuyYes9¢ | $5 |
| 374d | Will Israel strike 2 countries in October 2025? | BuyYes14¢ | $15 |
| 374d | Russia coup attempt in 2025? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 374d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $14 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.