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Polymarket wallet 0xaa6d16e3d3f84c9f6afe0970b2a6c5a1e6523093 · on Polymarket since Oct 26, 2024 · also shown as Liquid-Pike
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 72¢ → 100¢ | $56 | +$16 +39% |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 73¢ → 100¢ | $21 | +$6 +37% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 74¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$5 +35% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 193 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 242d | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | BuyYes72¢ | $40 |
| 242d | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BuyYes73¢ | $15 |
| 242d | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BuyYes74¢ | $15 |
| 354d | Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31? | BuyNo60¢ | $20 |
| 562d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | SellNo97¢ | $16 |
| 694d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo59¢ | $10 |
| 694d | Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November? | BuyYes33¢ | $10 |
| 720d | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024? | BuyYes10¢ | $10 |
| 720d | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyNo34¢ | $10 |
| 720d | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyYes62¢ | $10 |
| 726d | Israel military action against Iraq before November? | BuyNo41¢ | $20 |
| 726d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes36¢ | $70 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.