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Polymarket wallet 0xaa92f71ecad8b17f775707335e5a316369d56328 · on Polymarket since Aug 5, 2025 · also shown as Agonizing-Fencing
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 58 | 9¢ → 100¢ | $58 | +$53 +1055% |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $40 | +$6 +19% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 66 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 200d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BuyNo65¢ | $43 |
| 200d | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | BuyNo84¢ | $34 |
| 200d | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyYes8¢ | $4 |
| 200d | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | BuyYes29¢ | $15 |
| 445d | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ | $35 |
| 445d | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | BuyYes9¢ | $5 |
| 445d | Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025? | BuyYes75¢ | $25 |
| 445d | Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025? | BuyNo54¢ | $40 |
| 445d | Israel strikes Yemen by August 15? | BuyNo43¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.