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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116d | OLOTH2 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,137 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 |
| 116d |  Parz1vaI2 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $28,093 | −$245 −0.9% | — |
| 118d | hideo2 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $15,941 | −$36 −0.2% | — |
| 119d | kevtp | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 119d |  elmcap25 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $244,361 | +$432 +0.2% | 20 |
| 119d |  Zaratustra | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,497 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 120d |  BeneGesseritVoice | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,326 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 120d | 678sigma | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,141 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 121d | 0x8931…a90c | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 121d |  GollumGekko3 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,519 | −$108 −1.1% | — |
| 122d |  DerDon | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,526 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 124d | Eatpraylove37 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $178,772 | +$18,157 +10% | 20 |
| 124d | Vilgefortz3 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,040 | −$60 −0.7% | — |
| 125d | denizz3 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $57,871 | +$17,401 +30% | 20 |
| 127d | wubddh | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo100¢ | $9,950 | +$50 +0.5% | 20 |
| 127d | vistamosaic | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,194 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 128d |  bosshog2 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,042 | −$120 −1.7% | — |
| 128d | Bikesarethebest | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,682 | −$14 −0.8% | — |
| 129d | Parz1vaI5 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $25,502 | +$785 +3.1% | 20 |
| 130d | energyhydra | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$8 +0.7% | 20 |
| 131d |  tetrase | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,015 | −$68 −1.1% | — |
| 131d |  Gemini4566 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $20,637 | +$506 +2.5% | 20 |
| 135d |  GerryHannon3 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,654 | −$423 −12% | — |
| 135d | Dafu07157 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $68,937 | +$1,358 +2.0% | 20 |
| 135d | LukiB5 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $10,286 | +$486 +4.7% | 20 |
| 135d |  tetrose2 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyYes5¢ → 0¢ | $2,581 | −$2,581 −100% | 27 |
| 136d | lunarhelix | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,339 | −$25 −1.8% | — |
| 136d | lunarhelix | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,316 | +$23 +1.7% | 20 |
| 137d | KiernanMeister | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,892 | −$108 −1.8% | — |
| 137d | cocococococo2 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,566 | −$131 −2.9% | — |
| 137d | Dafu0715 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,843 | −$144 −1.6% | — |
| 137d | Eatpraylove12 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $47,364 | −$1,194 −2.5% | — |
| 139d |  BamseOgKylling | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,649 | +$51 +1.9% | 20 |
| 140d |  Aragorn-II | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,962 | +$38 +1.9% | 20 |
| 141d | trustorigin | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,298 | −$26 −2.0% | — |
| 141d | trustorigin | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$25 +1.9% | 20 |
| 143d | thoodr2 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,532 | +$148 +2.3% | 20 |
| 144d |  Tenebrus7 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,175 | −$146 −2.0% | — |
| 144d |  adonpoli3 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,747 | −$189 −2.4% | — |
| 145d | yannfournier | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | −$23 −2.1% | — |
| 145d | adonpoli5 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $15,969 | +$682 +4.3% | 20 |
| 148d |  Sardinianshepherd | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | −$41 −3.5% | — |
| 149d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389352 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,723 | −$146 −3.9% | — |
| 149d | Manzana6982 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,992 | −$114 −2.9% | — |
| 150d | Kevindoto | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$38 +3.4% | 20 |
| 150d |  Tigerofthehood2 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $46,117 | +$2,278 +4.9% | 20 |
| 150d | Threadbare-Signal | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | +$56 +4.7% | 20 |
| 152d | 0x7a6c…5048 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | −$40 −2.9% | — |
| 152d | 0xda57…e04d2 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,293 | −$188 −2.6% | — |
| 152d | 0xe609…c3b22 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,092 | +$308 +2.0% | 20 |
| 152d | 0xe609…c3b2 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,546 | −$154 −2.0% | — |
| 152d | 0xa135…e4442 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,092 | +$308 +2.0% | 20 |
| 152d | 0x8aa1…c72d2 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,092 | +$308 +2.0% | 20 |
| 152d | 0x1c8c…a9b92 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,092 | +$308 +2.0% | 20 |
| 152d | 0xaa21…272f2 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,092 | +$308 +2.0% | 20 |
| 152d | 0xd204…a29d2 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,092 | +$308 +2.0% | 20 |
| 153d | Manzana6983 fills | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,936 | +$170 +4.3% | 20 |
| 153d | tetrose | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $26,176 | +$594 +2.3% | 20 |
| 153d | cocococococo | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | +$63 +4.7% | 20 |
| 154d |  LlamaLoco0000 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BuyYes5¢ → 0¢ | $1,108 | −$1,108 −100% | 21 |
LlamaLoco0000265,688 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.