979216

Polymarket wallet 0xada3696694e72779ea278a87318f298e1ef1c449 · on Polymarket since Feb 12, 2026 · also shown as Austere-Tussle

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $436
All-time profit: −$355
Volume traded: $91.6K
All-time rank: #2,915,860
Markets traded: 300
Recent hit rate: 64%32 of last 50 closed

Open positions

49 markets · $339

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	137	73¢ → 100¢	$137	+$37 +37%
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	124	81¢ → 49¢	$60	−$40 −40%
The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija GolubicSettled - ready to redeem	Katie Volynets	50	20¢ → 100¢	$50	+$40 +400%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng ShangSettled - ready to redeem	Kei Nishikori	41	49¢ → 100¢	$41	+$21 +104%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d	Yes	25	40¢ → 77¢	$19	+$9 +90%
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	37	54¢ → 33¢	$12	−$8 −39%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	47	21¢ → 20¢	$9	−$1 −5.9%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	132	38¢ → 4¢	$5	−$45 −90%
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	33	30¢ → 12¢	$4	−$6 −62%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	91	11¢ → 1¢	$1	−$9 −90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	16	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	45	22¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	204	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	42	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	37	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,298	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$112 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	24¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum flipped in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	32	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	196	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	179	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Settled - ready to redeem	Under	17	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	14	74¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	24	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	816	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$19 −100%
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	82	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	40	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	100	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	40	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	208	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	89	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5Settled - ready to redeem	Over	32	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	31	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	137	73¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	59	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$32 −100%
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular SeasonSettled - ready to redeem	KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas	143	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Settled - ready to redeem	Leeds United FC	172	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	105	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$26 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	18	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	27	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	29	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	161	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	13	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem	Morocco	100	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	16	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	159	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
88d	Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shang	BuyKei Nishikori49¢	$21
88d	The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubic	BuyKatie Volynets20¢	$10
88d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BuyYes73¢	$101
88d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes38¢	$51
88d	Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shang AND The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubic	Buy34¢	$10
88d	Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shang AND The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubic	Buy48¢	$10
88d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	BuyDown56¢	$103
88d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	SellDown94¢	$112
88d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	BuyDown83¢	$101
88d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	SellDown71¢	$111
88d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	BuyDown63¢	$103
88d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	SellDown96¢	$207
88d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	BuyDown69¢	$153
88d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	SellDown73¢	$134
88d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	BuyDown53¢	$103
94d	Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Darwin Blanch AND Winnipeg: Justin Boulais vs Johannus Monday	Buy39¢	$100
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	SellDown68¢	$136
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	BuyDown49¢	$104
94d	PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 2.5 AND PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22?	Sell17¢	$8
94d	Spread: NK Celje (-1.5) AND Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-1.5) AND Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)	Sell<1¢	$1
94d	Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22? AND Will NK Celje win on 2026-07-22? AND Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?	Sell9¢	$160
94d	Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?	BuyYes81¢	$101
94d	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?	BuyYes41¢	$10
94d	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?	BuyYes25¢	$10
94d	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	BuyYes11¢	$10
94d	LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season	BuyKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas7¢	$10
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	SellUp84¢	$209
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	SellDown16¢	$6
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	BuyUp84¢	$202
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	BuyDown27¢	$11
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	BuyUp75¢	$10
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	SellDown92¢	$143
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	BuyDown64¢	$103
94d	PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 2.5 AND PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22?	Buy19¢	$10
94d	Spread: NK Celje (-1.5) AND Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-1.5) AND Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)	Buy2¢	$10
94d	Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22? AND Will NK Celje win on 2026-07-22? AND Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?	Buy11¢	$100
94d	Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22? AND Will NK Celje win on 2026-07-22? AND Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?	Buy11¢	$100
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	SellDown99¢	$204
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	BuyDown97¢	$200
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	BuyUp73¢	$102
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	SellDown31¢	$139
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	BuyDown43¢	$104
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	BuyDown43¢	$104
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	SellDown99¢	$505
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	BuyDown72¢	$102
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	BuyDown54¢	$206
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	SellDown98¢	$330
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	BuyDown59¢	$206
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	SellUp8¢	$13
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	BuyUp62¢	$103
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	SellDown59¢	$117
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	BuyDown49¢	$104
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	SellUp92¢	$133
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	BuyUp69¢	$102
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	SellUp99¢	$306
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	BuyUp97¢	$301
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	SellUp94¢	$111
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	BuyUp84¢	$101
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	SellUp81¢	$97
94d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	BuyUp82¢	$101

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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