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Polymarket wallet 0xae8775235bc39aacf9b3fb1e4de6d033bd3f40fb · on Polymarket since Oct 9, 2025 · also shown as Writhing-Papaya
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +18% |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 69 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 128 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.