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Polymarket wallet 0xaed940be0e80dabbc3aa4b7d622ca89dd5980eb5 · on Polymarket since Mar 9, 2026 · also shown as Profuse-Eavesdropper
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 41¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$7 +144% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 53¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$4 +89% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161d | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BuyNo54¢ | $5 |
| 168d | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? | BuyYes53¢ | $5 |
| 168d | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? | BuyYes17¢ | $5 |
| 168d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | BuyYes46¢ | $5 |
| 222d | Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026? | BuyYes29¢ | $5 |
| 222d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | BuyYes21¢ | $5 |
| 222d | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes41¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.