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Polymarket wallet 0xaf78dabd515dc8a56ea8e82e369ff6fbba5765f0 · on Polymarket since Feb 13, 2026 · also shown as Fresh-Grit
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 26¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$8 +285% |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 235 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 140 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.