Almeneto

Polymarket wallet 0xaffaf95084700c0f717b4778d73099750a8d4fb7 · on Polymarket since Jan 19, 2026 · also shown as Costly-Beastie

Open on Polymarket ↗

voracious beginner

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$48.9
Volume traded: $14.5K
All-time rank: #2,410,952
Markets traded: 296
Recent hit rate: 84%42 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	13	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	11	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	111	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	43	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	15	67¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	31	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	19	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	23	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	31	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	18	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,574	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$19 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	18	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	25	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	31	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	13	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	18	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	31	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	13	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	9	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	8	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	15	69¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	9	75¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	11	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	106	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	464	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin above 72,200 on April 8, 11AM ET?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	62	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	19	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	8	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	16	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	23	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	21	24¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	67	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	64¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	18	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	23	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	19	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	12	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	12	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	15	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	43	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	14	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	649	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$16 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	16	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	64¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	19	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	9	80¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	125	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	8	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	82¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	9	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	11	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	11	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	31	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	93	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	25	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	23	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,212	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	16	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	19	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	9	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	16	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	33	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	13	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	11	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	21	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	93	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	16	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	9	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	13	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 2?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	86	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$41 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	11	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	12	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	11	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	18	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	8	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	12	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,037	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
161d	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	BuyUp4¢	$2
161d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	BuyUp75¢	$7
166d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	BuyUp60¢	$5
187d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	BuyDown22¢	$3
187d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	BuyUp63¢	$10
187d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	BuyUp64¢	$5
189d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	BuyUp65¢	$10
189d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	BuyDown65¢	$10
189d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	BuyUp18¢	$4
189d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	BuyDown77¢	$20
189d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	BuyUp88¢	$10
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	BuyUp56¢	$4
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	BuyUp54¢	$5
190d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	BuyUp<1¢	$1
190d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	BuyDown8¢	$2
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	BuyDown5¢	$1
191d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	SellDown39¢	$7
191d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	BuyDown56¢	$10
191d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	BuyDown56¢	$6
191d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	BuyUp11¢	$1
191d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	BuyDown82¢	$5
191d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	BuyDown72¢	$5
191d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	BuyDown32¢	$4
191d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	BuyDown46¢	$6
191d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	BuyDown42¢	$2
191d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	BuyDown61¢	$6
191d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	BuyDown65¢	$10
191d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	BuyDown44¢	$5
191d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	BuyDown46¢	$5
191d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	BuyUp60¢	$10
192d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	BuyDown72¢	$5
192d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	BuyUp63¢	$3
192d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	BuyUp55¢	$3
192d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	BuyDown82¢	$5
192d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	BuyUp81¢	$5
192d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	BuyDown60¢	$3
192d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	BuyDown52¢	$5
192d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	BuyUp82¢	$5
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	BuyDown59¢	$5
193d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	BuyDown55¢	$7
193d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	BuyUp48¢	$6
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	BuyUp65¢	$4
193d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BuyUp56¢	$3
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	SellDown27¢	$3
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown48¢	$5
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	BuyDown58¢	$3
193d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	BuyDown54¢	$5
194d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BuyDown53¢	$7
194d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BuyUp69¢	$5
194d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BuyUp79¢	$7
194d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	BuyDown55¢	$5
194d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	BuyDown59¢	$3
194d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	BuyUp70¢	$12
194d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	BuyUp75¢	$5
194d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	BuyUp51¢	$5
194d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	SellUp49¢	$6
194d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	BuyUp42¢	$5
194d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	BuyDown45¢	$5
195d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	BuyUp62¢	$6
195d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	BuyUp40¢	$3

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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