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Polymarket wallet 0xb11ed53eb3cd9e2caf95006b75ba5601a0ff6be6 · on Polymarket since Mar 15, 2026 · also shown as Extroverted-Underestimate
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 9,129 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $7,440 | −$75 −1.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 2,198 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $2,077 | +$77 +3.8% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 206 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $204 | +$21 +12% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,366 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,000 −100% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 239 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$116 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 20 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.