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Polymarket wallet 0xb347b8247ce42751fe4dd2b456f7bd4230f848b7 · on Polymarket since Jun 21, 2025 · also shown as Tasty-Cheesecake
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 32 | 63¢ → 100¢ | $32 | +$12 +59% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 478d | Will Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4? | SellYes4¢ | $1 |
| 478d | Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4? | SellYes18¢ | $4 |
| 480d | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1? | BuyYes63¢ | $11 |
| 481d | Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4? | BuyYes21¢ | $5 |
| 481d | Will Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4? | BuyYes25¢ | $5 |
| 481d | Will Elon tweet 120–134 times June 27–July 4? | BuyYes20¢ | $5 |
| 482d | Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking? | BuyYes69¢ | $30 |
| 482d | Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11? | BuyYes25¢ | $10 |
| 482d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? | BuyNo63¢ | $20 |
| 482d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | SellYes99¢ | $21 |
| 482d | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | SellYes>99¢ | $17 |
| 487d | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes60¢ | $10 |
| 487d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | BuyYes96¢ | $20 |
| 487d | Israel strike on Iran on June 24? | BuyNo38¢ | $20 |
| 490d | US military action against Iran by Sunday? | BuyNo91¢ | $22 |
| 490d | US military action against Iran by Saturday? | BuyNo97¢ | $25 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.