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Polymarket wallet 0xbef5ab169458cb47c5d233e067dff4447fad1c5a · on Polymarket since Dec 24, 2024 · also shown as Rusty-Canoe
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 19,049 | 77¢ → 84¢ | $15,906 | +$1,243 +8.5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10,003 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $9,153 | +$876 +11% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,000 | 72¢ → 62¢ | $1,845 | −$315 −15% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7,000 | 46¢ → 21¢ | $1,435 | −$1,785 −55% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,660 | 59¢ → 73¢ | $1,203 | +$218 +22% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 11,345 | 13¢ → 4¢ | $459 | −$1,064 −70% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 4,818 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $157 | −$451 −74% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 10 | 50¢ → 56¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 473 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$284 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 44 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.