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Polymarket wallet 0xc1856f5fd49895093579d8924743a5241e3fb156 · on Polymarket since Jan 6, 2026 · also shown as Harmless-Branch
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 239d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BuyDown87¢ | $1 |
| 258d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyNo94¢ | $2 |
| 258d | Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
| 258d | Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
| 258d | Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo91¢ | $1 |
| 258d | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BuyNo90¢ | $2 |
| 258d | Will Send Help be the highest grossing movie this weekend? | BuyYes98¢ | $1 |
| 259d | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 259d | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.