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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236d | pantomime | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,323 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 237d |  bosshog | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,450 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 237d |  TylerTurden2 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,389 | −$63 −0.8% | — |
| 238d |  scottilicious7 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo>99¢ | $40,664 | −$198 −0.5% | — |
| 238d |  tetrase22 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $96,011 | +$1,218 +1.3% | 20 |
| 239d |  DEGENKHAN2 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,849 | +$105 +1.8% | 20 |
| 239d |  pugdev3 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,794 | −$41 −0.7% | — |
| 242d | dwpoker | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,972 | −$28 −0.6% | — |
| 242d |  EarthlyDelights | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,300 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 242d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,874 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 243d | erik50 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,663 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 243d | TylerTurden3 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,107 | +$109 +1.8% | 20 |
| 243d |  ScottyNooo | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,050 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 244d |  GrokEnjoyer | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,483 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 245d |  DFK2 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo>99¢ | $22,575 | −$70 −0.3% | — |
| 246d | Propanizard0 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 247d | DEGENKHAN | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,525 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 247d | MrMarket | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 249d | Slidger | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,549 | −$24 −0.7% | — |
| 251d | DFK7 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $22,075 | +$696 +3.2% | 20 |
| 252d | TheMayor | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,362 | −$38 −0.9% | — |
| 252d |  MisTKy | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,206 | −$64 −0.8% | — |
| 252d |  AlexiosV | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,458 | −$22 −0.3% | — |
| 252d | tetrase16 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $99,957 | −$1,812 −1.8% | — |
| 253d | moneygood | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | +$10 +0.9% | 20 |
| 255d | i.am.a.turkey.3 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,250 | −$93 −1.5% | — |
| 255d | Propanizard0 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$19 +1.6% | 20 |
| 255d |  twe2nty4 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,637 | +$138 +1.6% | 20 |
| 255d | MrMarket | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | +$20 +1.7% | 20 |
| 256d | ChampaLiberation2 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,487 | +$64 +1.4% | 20 |
| 257d | AlexiosV | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,944 | +$56 +1.4% | 20 |
| 258d | Kevindoto | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $19,678 | −$428 −2.2% | — |
| 260d |  elmcap23 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $13,155 | +$363 +2.8% | 20 |
| 260d | H0m0ThugMacro | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | −$14 −1.4% | — |
| 260d | Hoch | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | −$15 −1.4% | — |
| 260d | Thombg | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | −$15 −1.4% | — |
| 261d | Lolololol | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,477 | +$30 +1.2% | 20 |
| 261d |  Gemini4563 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,025 | −$124 −1.4% | — |
| 262d | shamrising | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyYes2¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 262d | burrito338 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $25,006 | −$420 −1.7% | — |
| 262d | 0xf634…42a7 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | −$16 −1.6% | — |
| 263d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,448 | −$56 −1.6% | — |
| 263d | H0m0ThugMacro | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$14 +1.3% | 20 |
| 264d |  Slowroasted | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$18 +1.5% | 20 |
| 264d | helloiamworld | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,848 | +$152 +1.9% | 20 |
| 265d |  tourists3 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,121 | −$355 −2.5% | — |
| 266d | TheMayor2 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,287 | +$113 +2.6% | 20 |
| 266d | notssf3 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,473 | +$64 +1.8% | 20 |
| 266d |  0xdc3E831cad | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,610 | −$195 −1.8% | — |
| 266d |  Z67 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,240 | −$260 −2.5% | — |
| 266d | 0xf254…53c84 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,356 | +$163 +3.1% | 20 |
| 266d | scottilicious5 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $69,616 | +$2,323 +3.3% | 20 |
| 266d | burrito338 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $21,302 | +$605 +2.8% | 20 |
| 267d | tourists2 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,554 | +$311 +2.9% | 20 |
| 267d | Gemini4563 fills | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,824 | +$338 +3.4% | 20 |
| 267d | pugdev | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$134 +3.4% | 20 |
| 267d | projectparrot | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | −$37 −3.0% | — |
| 267d | madman666 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | +$39 +3.4% | 20 |
| 267d | 0x5d8df3c5e43d5e83b3c1c62be63b4c1bb9b9a4F3 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,947 | +$53 +2.7% | 20 |
| 267d | eNakeVets | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,938 | +$118 +3.0% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the January 27, 2026 incident in which Rep. Ilhan Omar was sprayed with an unknown liquid at a Minneapolis town hall was staged, pre-arranged, orchestrated, fake, or otherwise not a genuine adversarial attack — including if broad consensus from credible reporting, or official statements (e.g., from law enforcement, U.S. government, or equivalent credible sources), confirms it was staged or pre-arranged. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements from the U.S. government, law enforcement agencies, or major credible news organizations concluding that the incident was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If no broad consensus from credible reporting and authoritative statements has been reached by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.