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Polymarket wallet 0xc40b352d6cf37d06136f03bc2525d41f3acc48a5 · on Polymarket since Jun 30, 2026 · also shown as Gleeful-Cross
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 47 | 17¢ → 20¢ | $9 | +$1 +18% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 6 | 81¢ → 89¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $4 | −$0 −5.2% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +14% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27d | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BuyYes88¢ | $2 |
| 31d | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BuyYes67¢ | $8 |
| 32d | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BuyYes29¢ | $4 |
| 32d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyYes17¢ | $8 |
| 32d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BuyNo81¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.