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Polymarket wallet 0xc4d8d5078c0ff8216fd33405bb1ca28a956cb1e2 · on Polymarket since Nov 6, 2025 · also shown as Whispered-Nose
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 39 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $37 | +$5 +15% |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 56¢ → 62¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,960 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$980 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136d | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BuyNo56¢ | $2 |
| 170d | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 7? | BuyYes95¢ | $2 |
| 170d | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7? | BuyNo73¢ | $2 |
| 170d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BuyNo83¢ | $32 |
| 350d | Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5? | BuyNo94¢ | $4 |
| 350d | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | BuyYes96¢ | $3 |
| 350d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $450 |
| 350d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $530 |
| 351d | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SellYes1¢ | $33 |
| 351d | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | BuyYes96¢ | $2 |
| 351d | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 351d | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes1¢ | $38 |
| 351d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyNo99¢ | $2 |
| 351d | Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? | BuyYes63¢ | $4 |
| 351d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $496 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.