| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | Yes | 300 | 28¢ → 84¢ | $251 | +$167 +198% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 13¢ → 10¢ | $29 | −$10 −27% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 800 | 9¢ → 2¢ | $18 | −$54 −75% |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 305 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $9 | +$6 +214% |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 114 | 1¢ → 7¢ | $8 | +$6 +560% |
| Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 435 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $5 | +$4 +425% |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 146 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $4 | +$2 +124% |
| Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 515 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $3 | +$2 +400% |
| Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 669 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | +$2 +250% |
| Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,411 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$0 −12% |
| Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | +$1 +50% |
| Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$0 +50% |
| Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 241 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | +$1 +500% |
| Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 308 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$1 +350% |
| Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$1 −50% |
| Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −49% |
| Will Xiaomi have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 600 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −50% |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$10 −98% |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$8 −97% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close at $340–355 in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,100 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 73 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440–460 in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,892 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$87 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $165–170 in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 374 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 810 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close at >$250 in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 287 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| GPT ads by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy EditionSettled - ready to redeem | No | 150 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 188 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,629 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,192 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift EditionSettled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,118 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Mistral have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,600 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 150 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14,999 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,013 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,794 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Alibaba have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 661 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,143 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 254 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 203 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 179 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in December?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,010 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,557 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $200–205 in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,128 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,200 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 601 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in December?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 873 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,989 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 174 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,396 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close at $290–295 in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 990 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,999 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 146 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 148 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 132 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,347 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Z.ai have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
