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Polymarket wallet 0xc9020c530bb5632435945d8bbc2ae0da216b2768 · on Polymarket since Mar 14, 2026 · also shown as Alarmed-Emerald
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$2 +100% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 51¢ → 84¢ | $3 | +$1 +65% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69d | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | BuyNo51¢ | $2 |
| 72d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13? | BuyDown50¢ | $2 |
| 95d | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BuyNo47¢ | $2 |
| 98d | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BuyYes44¢ | $2 |
| 114d | Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyNo58¢ | $3 |
| 134d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? | BuyNo13¢ | $1 |
| 142d | Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes40¢ | $2 |
| 148d | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BuyYes58¢ | $3 |
| 151d | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BuyYes58¢ | $2 |
| 169d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | BuyNo50¢ | $2 |
| 183d | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BuyNo43¢ | $2 |
| 189d | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo57¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.