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Polymarket wallet 0xd27cf03182edbc0d104f0588329e5e1a1d1323ec · on Polymarket since Oct 31, 2024 · also shown as Innocent-Invitation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 16 | 68¢ → 86¢ | $14 | +$3 +26% |
| Will a Republican win Illinois Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Martin Small announced as next BlackRock CEO?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dogecoin above $0.40 on November 29?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 36 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin hits $80k before election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin up on Nov 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158d | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BuyNo68¢ | $11 |
| 410d | Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election? | BuyNo71¢ | $4 |
| 410d | Will anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9? | BuyNo14¢ | $5 |
| 698d | Dogecoin above $0.40 on November 29? | BuyNo23¢ | $2 |
| 723d | Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | SellYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 723d | OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025? | BuyNo39¢ | $0 |
| 723d | Martin Small announced as next BlackRock CEO? | BuyYes2¢ | $0 |
| 723d | Bitcoin hits $80k before election? | BuyYes14¢ | $1 |
| 723d | Bitcoin up on Nov 6? | BuyNo47¢ | $1 |
| 723d | Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ | $1 |
| 723d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo65¢ | $151 |
| 723d | Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | BuyYes<1¢ | $16 |
| 723d | Will a Republican win Illinois Presidential Election? | BuyYes4¢ | $0 |
| 723d | GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 723d | Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? | BuyYes34¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.