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Polymarket wallet 0xd68e45b3c484e2da46d27d3ca2c1bee59c7d8b50 · on Polymarket since Jul 18, 2025 · also shown as Celebrated-Bagpipe
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| New US sanctions on Brazilian Supreme Court Justices by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 153 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Serbia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| FIFA Intercontinental Cup: PSG vs. Flamengo - WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Flamengo | 69 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| 50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will no leader be out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.