| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 48d | Yes | 158 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$2 −66% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 7d | Yes | 405 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$16 −94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 117 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 383 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 61 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 567 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 13 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 62 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 667 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 181 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 28 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 23 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 14 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 36 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 13 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 132 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 929 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 19 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 30 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 13 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 13 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 27 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 37 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 84 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 41 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 77 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 33 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,667 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 236 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 58 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 57 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 38 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 173 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 26 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Oil" during April press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 107 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 33 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 33 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 211 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 17 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 12 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 24 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,304 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 18 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,250 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 97 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
