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Polymarket wallet 0xd7a9b4a3709c90318852963af9bef56f740627ea · on Polymarket since Dec 2, 2024 · also shown as Warped-Bartender
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 91 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$8 −80% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Macron out as president of France in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Syria hold national elections by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 80 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.