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Polymarket wallet 0xde9f4ca6d5fc91c9d991b31b961b5aab629bcd36 · on Polymarket since Jan 17, 2026 · also shown as Hospitable-Bathhouse
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?Ends in 433d | SpaceX | 941 | 55¢ → 78¢ | $738 | +$219 +42% |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 135 | 49¢ → 100¢ | $135 | +$69 +104% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 433d | OpenAI | 715 | 34¢ → 5¢ | $35 | −$208 −85% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 34 | 63¢ → 96¢ | $32 | +$11 +52% |
| Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 25 | 11¢ → 28¢ | $7 | +$4 +155% |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2 | 13¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$0 −55% |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −91% |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 188 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.