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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 10 | 0% | 0 pts | −89 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 30 | 100% | +4 pts | +81 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 15 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 11 | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 15 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 30 | 100% | +2 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 12 | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 31 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 15 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 13 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 14 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 192d | April 10 | SellNo>99¢ | $13,986 | −$14 −0.1% | — | |
| 192d | blub.0 | April 10 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,396 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 192d | Passionate-Left | April 10 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,221 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 192d | GCNO1 | April 10 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,811 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 192d | nonkenny902 fills | April 10 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,541 | −$14 −0.3% | — |
| 193d | SplendidAmadeus | April 10 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,566 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 193d | April 10 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,338 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 193d | April 10 | SellNo>99¢ | $24,527 | −$47 −0.2% | — | |
| 193d | Anothdirhshu | April 10 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,892 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 193d | Odysseus7 | April 10 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,993 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 193d | Adolf1889 | April 10 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,523 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 193d | poorsob | April 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $218,854 | +$219 +0.1% | 4 |
| 193d | April 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $89,356 | +$118 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 193d | April 10 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,000 | −$30 −0.3% | — | |
| 193d | April 10 | SellNo>99¢ | $64,521 | −$259 −0.4% | — | |
| 193d | April 10 | SellNo>99¢ | $119,136 | −$446 −0.4% | — | |
| 193d | Incrediblez7-Defi2 fills | April 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $66,773 | +$166 +0.2% | 4 |
| 193d | April 10 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,076 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 193d | Vital-Mathematics | April 10 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,137 | −$109 −0.6% | — |
| 193d | April 10 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $97,172 | +$9,847 +10% | 4 | |
| 193d | April 10 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $38,245 | +$421 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 193d | April 10 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $63,232 | +$768 +1.2% | 4 | |
| 193d | EnronLives | April 10 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | +$12 +0.9% | 4 |
| 193d | SBFLover69 | April 10 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$15 +1.3% | 4 |
| 193d | SplendidAmadeus | April 10 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,038 | +$33 +1.6% | 4 |
| 193d | Niki0902 | April 10 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | +$25 +1.8% | 4 |
| 193d | April 10 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $16,595 | +$427 +2.6% | 4 | |
| 193d | April 10 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $96,543 | +$1,285 +1.3% | 4 | |
| 193d | April 10 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $35,034 | +$4,409 +13% | 4 | |
| 194d | discombobulated-chicken2 fills | April 10 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,096 | +$228 +2.8% | 4 |
| 194d | BTC-Hunter | April 10 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,842 | −$75 −4.1% | — |
| 194d | RobertoRubio2 fills | April 10 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $42,133 | −$4,698 −11% | — |
| 194d | Cheerful-Nucleotidase | April 10 | SellYes6¢ → 0¢ | $1,874 | +$1,874 +100% | — |
| 194d | April 10 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $11,899 | +$1,978 +17% | 4 | |
| 194d | Utilized-Radish2 fills | April 10 | SellYes16¢ → 0¢ | $2,350 | +$2,350 +100% | — |
| 194d | April 10 | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,555 | −$530 −21% | — | |
| 194d | Adolf1889 | April 10 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $7,800 | +$731 +9.4% | 4 |
| 194d | April 10 | SellYes9¢ → 0¢ | $5,285 | +$5,285 +100% | — | |
| 194d | bruc333 | April 10 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | +$216 +15% | 4 |
| 194d | sadasd123213213esq1 | April 10 | SellYes14¢ → 0¢ | $3,085 | +$3,085 +100% | — |
| 194d | April 10 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,197 | +$499 +23% | 4 | |
| 194d | BTC-Hunter | April 10 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | +$236 +16% | 4 |
| 194d | Anothdirhshu | April 10 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | +$297 +19% | 4 |
| 194d | Vital-Mathematics3 fills | April 10 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $22,231 | +$582 +2.6% | 4 |
| 194d | April 10 | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $2,013 | −$2,013 −100% | 8 | |
| 194d | April 10 | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,522 | −$1,522 −100% | 7 | |
| 194d | April 10 | BuyYes4¢ → 0¢ | $5,032 | −$5,032 −100% | 16 | |
| 194d | Thersa | April 10 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,562 | −$136 −8.7% | — |
| 194d | Nathanei | April 10 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,447 | −$96 −6.7% | — |
| 194d | April 10 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,297 | +$294 +4.0% | 4 | |
| 194d | April 10 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,218 | +$227 +7.1% | 4 | |
| 194d | dsfgsldfjag | April 10 | SellYes8¢ → 0¢ | $1,534 | +$1,534 +100% | — |
| 194d | Strange-Meme | April 10 | SellYes13¢ → 0¢ | $2,515 | +$2,515 +100% | — |
| 194d | bearbees22 fills | April 10 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $11,328 | +$672 +5.9% | 4 |
| 194d | bearbees22 fills | April 10 | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,142 | −$810 −26% | — |
| 194d | April 10 | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $6,170 | −$6,170 −100% | 15 | |
| 194d | grgrrrgrgrgrr5 fills | April 10 | SellYes10¢ → 0¢ | $10,847 | +$10,847 +100% | — |
| 194d | April 10 | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,530 | −$1,530 −100% | 7 | |
| 194d | Cal800 | April 10 | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | −$256 −24% | — |
| 194d | Vital-Mathematics | April 10 | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $1,064 | −$1,064 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for April 10 means the market gives it about 0%.