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Polymarket wallet 0xe0b5a0e04d9985ebbb32644b8e3af7c70c63c29e · on Polymarket since Sep 8, 2026 · also shown as Thoughtful-Fanlight

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $320
All-time profit: +$250
Volume traded: $12.4K
All-time rank: #155,778
Markets traded: 53
Recent hit rate: 48%20 of last 42 closed

Open positions

12 markets · $320

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?Ends in 10d	Yes	106	67¢ → 69¢	$73	+$2 +2.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 72d	No	173	40¢ → 38¢	$66	−$3 −4.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d	Yes	500	7¢ → 7¢	$33	−$2 −5.1%
Will PP win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 36d	Yes	69	44¢ → 46¢	$32	+$1 +4.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%?Ends in 9d	Yes	109	23¢ → 26¢	$28	+$3 +13%
Will PSOE win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 36d	Yes	55	47¢ → 47¢	$26	$0 0.0%
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	40	36¢ → 53¢	$21	+$7 +48%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 72d	Yes	97	17¢ → 16¢	$15	−$2 −11%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 72d	Yes	229	5¢ → 5¢	$11	−$0 −3.4%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 745d	Yes	1,750	<1¢ → <1¢	$7	$0 0.0%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 745d	Yes	1,750	<1¢ → <1¢	$6	−$1 −13%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by October 31?Ends in 7d	Yes	52	7¢ → 5¢	$2	−$1 −27%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
3h	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	BuyNo39¢	$39
4h	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	SellNo66¢	$33
6h	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	BuyYes73¢	$15
6h	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	BuyYes73¢	$7
6h	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	BuyYes73¢	$15
11h	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	SellYes7¢	$1
11h	Will PSOE win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election?	BuyYes47¢	$26
12h	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	BuyNo39¢	$19
16h	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	SellNo63¢	$32
23h	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	BuyNo62¢	$31
23h	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	SellNo63¢	$63
23h	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	SellYes62¢	$12
1d	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	SellYes62¢	$19
1d	Will PP win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election?	BuyYes41¢	$12
1d	Will PP win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election?	BuyYes46¢	$18
1d	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	BuyNo62¢	$31
1d	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	BuyNo62¢	$31
1d	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	BuyYes62¢	$19
1d	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	BuyYes62¢	$0
1d	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	BuyYes62¢	$12
1d	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	SellYes62¢	$17
1d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	SellNo40¢	$7
1d	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	SellYes23¢	$14
1d	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	BuyYes62¢	$2
1d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	SellNo40¢	$4
1d	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	BuyYes62¢	$10
1d	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	BuyNo62¢	$31
1d	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	BuyYes62¢	$5
2d	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BuyYes<1¢	$7
2d	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BuyYes<1¢	$7
2d	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%?	BuyYes23¢	$25
2d	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	BuyYes62¢	$1
2d	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	BuyYes62¢	$11
2d	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	BuyYes62¢	$6
2d	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	BuyYes63¢	$16
2d	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	SellYes31¢	$19
2d	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	BuyYes4¢	$2
3d	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	BuyYes18¢	$9
3d	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes20¢	$12
3d	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by October 31?	SellYes39¢	$19
3d	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BuyYes7¢	$17
3d	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BuyYes7¢	$17
3d	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes37¢	$22
3d	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes35¢	$14
3d	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by October 31?	BuyYes7¢	$7
3d	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by October 31?	SellYes47¢	$17
6d	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by October 31?	SellYes74¢	$29
6d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	BuyNo43¢	$23
7d	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	BuyYes17¢	$8
7d	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of October 2026?	SellYes37¢	$13
8d	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SellYes24¢	$7
9d	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	BuyYes5¢	$4
9d	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?	SellNo63¢	$31
9d	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	SellYes47¢	$5
14d	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	SellYes46¢	$5
15d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.4T by October 31?	BuyYes84¢	$42
15d	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	BuyYes5¢	$5
15d	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by October 31?	SellYes80¢	$20
17d	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	BuyYes15¢	$3
17d	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes19¢	$7

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 42 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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