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Polymarket wallet 0xe1cc27d349a94f56ca06606eacdaa2803156b4db · on Polymarket since Nov 6, 2024 · also shown as Fumbling-Botany
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 370 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 351 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Israel military action against Iran in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 664 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 314 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Cluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 228 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 571 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 15 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.