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Polymarket wallet 0xe2485a4a68aa9d1cad722491b874118b6e4d8621 · on Polymarket since Jan 27, 2025 · also shown as Ill-Fated-Larch
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump admin announces cutting Ukraine aid by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 98 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Trump cuts Ukraine aid before April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 125 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 600d | Trump admin announces cutting Ukraine aid by Friday? | BuyNo76¢ | $75 |
| 600d | Trump cuts Ukraine aid before April? | BuyNo60¢ | $75 |
| 603d | Will the Liberals win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election? | BuyYes80¢ | $39 |
| 604d | Will "No Other Land" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars? | BuyYes58¢ | $100 |
| 604d | Will Elon tweet 900 or more times Feb 21-28? | SellNo98¢ | $139 |
| 606d | Will the Liberals win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election? | BuyYes77¢ | $34 |
| 606d | Will Elon tweet 900 or more times Feb 21-28? | BuyNo71¢ | $100 |
| 607d | Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election? | SellYes>99¢ | $11 |
| 607d | Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? | SellYes>99¢ | $123 |
| 630d | Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? | BuyYes91¢ | $112 |
| 635d | Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election? | BuyYes88¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.