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Polymarket wallet 0xe258c02a1ed5c159f3268cf7728ba5706f8bd084 · on Polymarket since Nov 10, 2025 · also shown as Scratchy-Antechamber
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 54,478 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $48,758 | −$142 −0.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 27,595 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $22,766 | +$966 +4.4% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 3,434 | 71¢ → 75¢ | $2,558 | +$134 +5.5% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10,214 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $286 | −$904 −76% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 99d | No | 7,278 | 36¢ → 4¢ | $277 | −$2,357 −89% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 321 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $275 | +$9 +3.5% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 206 | 34¢ → 23¢ | $46 | −$23 −33% |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?Ends in 434d | No | 90 | 44¢ → 28¢ | $25 | −$15 −38% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Ends in 99d | Yes | 1,100 | 35¢ → 2¢ | $22 | −$358 −94% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 15 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.