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Polymarket wallet 0xe399bb71ff1fef9313c7625eb2b8f345f0297dc1 · on Polymarket since Jan 21, 2026 · also shown as Jovial-Routine
Here mostly to hold myself accountable for my mental models. Principal strategy: Long bets that exploit tribal bias. The efficient market hypothesis erodes with time.
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 22,099 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $21,027 | +$917 +4.6% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 7,000 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $6,787 | +$389 +6.1% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,266 | 88¢ → 67¢ | $2,858 | −$894 −24% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 2,215 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $2,119 | +$242 +13% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2,000 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $1,959 | +$259 +15% |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 2,000 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $1,880 | +$230 +14% |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 822 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $800 | +$68 +9.3% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,237 | 82¢ → 25¢ | $309 | −$702 −69% |
| Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 903 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.