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Polymarket wallet 0xe8b6c56199a46ed5ecd3ec946f0669563b9a71a6 · on Polymarket since Feb 21, 2025 · also shown as Wet-Marble
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by November 5, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Zurcher vs. MagomedovSettled - ready to redeem | Zurcher | 6 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 359d | Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by November 5, 2025? | BuyYes93¢ | $3 |
| 359d | Lecornu out as French PM by December 31? | SellYes37¢ | $2 |
| 376d | Lecornu out as French PM by December 31? | BuyYes79¢ | $5 |
| 388d | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes79¢ | $3 |
| 396d | Zurcher vs. Magomedov | BuyZurcher69¢ | $4 |
| 402d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2AM ET | BuyUp37¢ | $4 |
| 402d | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | SellNo98¢ | $5 |
| 490d | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ | $5 |
| 490d | Blanchfield vs. Barber | SellBlanchfield50¢ | $4 |
| 521d | Blanchfield vs. Barber | BuyBlanchfield67¢ | $6 |
| 606d | Liverpool wins the Premier League? | BuyYes91¢ | $6 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.