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Polymarket wallet 0xec41c8627744e1c0498e842a8fbab2ea869a2c24 · on Polymarket since Jun 30, 2024 · also shown as Wary-Air

Open on Polymarket ↗@olibla ↗

Positions now worth: $283
All-time profit: −$850
Volume traded: $50K
All-time rank: #3,031,369
Markets traded: 73
Recent hit rate: 26%13 of last 50 closed

Open positions

4 markets · $283

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	279	>99¢ → 100¢	$279	+$0 +0.1%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem	No	4	98¢ → 100¢	$4	+$0 +1.9%
Nik Airball vs Mariano - Higher Poker Winnings on Friday??Settled - ready to redeem	Nik Airball	60	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$29 −100%
Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-01-24?Settled - ready to redeem	No	291	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$163 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
146d	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	BuyNo>99¢	$279
179d	Ben Pasternak jailed?	SellYes16¢	$3
179d	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	SellYes83¢	$17
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	SellYes31¢	$6
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	SellYes56¢	$11
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	SellYes43¢	$9
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	SellNo97¢	$19
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	BuyNo98¢	$4
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	BuyNo97¢	$19
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	BuyYes32¢	$6
179d	Ben Pasternak jailed?	BuyYes19¢	$4
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	BuyYes58¢	$12
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	BuyYes44¢	$9
179d	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	BuyYes84¢	$17
179d	Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?	SellNo51¢	$8
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?	SellNo30¢	$5
179d	Major US official out by April 30?	SellNo74¢	$15
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	SellYes44¢	$9
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?	SellNo68¢	$14
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	SellNo78¢	$16
179d	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	SellNo96¢	$19
179d	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?	SellNo99¢	$20
179d	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	BuyNo96¢	$19
179d	Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?	BuyNo51¢	$8
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?	BuyYes68¢	$3
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?	BuyNo31¢	$6
179d	Major US official out by April 30?	BuyNo85¢	$17
179d	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	BuyYes4¢	$1
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	BuyNo79¢	$16
179d	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	BuyNo94¢	$19
179d	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	BuyYes5¢	$0
179d	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	BuyYes5¢	$0
179d	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	BuyYes5¢	$0
179d	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	BuyYes5¢	$0
179d	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?	BuyNo99¢	$20
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?	BuyNo68¢	$14
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	BuyYes45¢	$9
179d	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	BuyNo95¢	$19
179d	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	SellYes15¢	$3
179d	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	SellNo52¢	$10
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	SellYes4¢	$0
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	SellYes57¢	$11
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	SellYes63¢	$13
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?	SellYes87¢	$17
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?	SellNo80¢	$16
179d	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	SellNo96¢	$19
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	BuyYes4¢	$0
179d	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	BuyNo96¢	$19
179d	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	BuyNo55¢	$4
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	BuyYes64¢	$9
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	BuyYes64¢	$4
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?	BuyNo81¢	$16
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?	BuyYes88¢	$18
179d	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	BuyNo55¢	$7
179d	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	BuyYes16¢	$3
179d	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	BuyYes58¢	$12
242d	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BuyNo>99¢	$268
242d	Will JD Vance clap between 80–89 times during the State of the Union?	SellYes18¢	$4
242d	Will Trump say "Dell" during the State of the Union address?	SellYes58¢	$12
242d	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	SellNo39¢	$19

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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