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Polymarket wallet 0xec673cbe75815685861fdf3656dcdde82c99c2e8 · on Polymarket since Oct 6, 2025 · also shown as Costly-Hoof
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 350 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $312 | +$15 +5.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 435 | 23¢ → 18¢ | $76 | −$24 −24% |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$115 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 98d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyUp6¢ | $30 |
| 98d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BuyUp7¢ | $35 |
| 99d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyYes23¢ | $100 |
| 120d | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo85¢ | $0 |
| 122d | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo85¢ | $110 |
| 122d | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo85¢ | $174 |
| 122d | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo85¢ | $13 |
| 272d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes53¢ | $106 |
| 273d | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes66¢ | $66 |
| 281d | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $4 |
| 301d | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BuyYes53¢ | $53 |
| 303d | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BuyYes62¢ | $62 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.