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Polymarket wallet 0xf0b6bb6b8f1fb165b5333047482117e3f1ead597 · on Polymarket since Mar 23, 2026 · also shown as Improbable-Foal
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 56¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +79% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 2 | 48¢ → 67¢ | $1 | +$0 +39% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 4 | 24¢ → 17¢ | $1 | −$0 −31% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$1 −73% |
| Will Moana Pasifika win?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 208d | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BuyNo30¢ | $1 |
| 212d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BuyDown55¢ | $1 |
| 213d | Will Moana Pasifika win? | BuyYes44¢ | $1 |
| 213d | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 24? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 213d | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyYes13¢ | $1 |
| 213d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BuyYes17¢ | $1 |
| 213d | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BuyYes48¢ | $1 |
| 213d | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BuyNo38¢ | $1 |
| 213d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BuyYes24¢ | $1 |
| 213d | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BuyYes43¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.