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Polymarket wallet 0xf240fa85d4864ffbc83d92514eb0128c57c2b478 · on Polymarket since Apr 9, 2025 · also shown as Boring-Draw
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 72¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +39% |
| US recession in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy before October?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 13 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.