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Polymarket wallet 0xf4f18ace21c8bfbc6fed92858d7ecceaa7cdf07c · on Polymarket since Jul 12, 2024 · also shown as Firsthand-Shoehorn
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 61¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$8 +64% |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 70¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$6 +43% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 54¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$9 +85% |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 12 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.