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Polymarket wallet 0xf516087a8919e6af47770f114436a31728d06f6f · on Polymarket since Nov 9, 2024 · also shown as Scented-Mandate
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $389 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 150 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $148 | +$2 +1.0% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 118 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $118 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 110 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $106 | +$2 +1.6% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 91 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $87 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 37 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $36 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 83¢ → 79¢ | $24 | −$1 −5.4% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.