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Polymarket wallet 0xf8338cd629181cf92898c123a2cf155b2fb30ee8 · on Polymarket since Dec 21, 2024 · also shown as Favorable-Ammunition
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$4 +400% |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.8% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in December 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Benfica win on 2025-02-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in December 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 303d | Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in January 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $1 |
| 304d | Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in December 2025? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 304d | Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in December 2025? | BuyYes16¢ | $1 |
| 304d | Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026? | BuyYes20¢ | $1 |
| 310d | Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale? | SellYes4¢ | $10 |
| 314d | Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale? | BuyYes63¢ | $162 |
| 591d | Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11? | BuyYes45¢ | $5 |
| 612d | Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? | BuyYes95¢ | $1 |
| 612d | Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League? | BuyYes18¢ | $1 |
| 612d | Will Benfica win on 2025-02-18? | BuyYes37¢ | $1 |
| 612d | Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-18? | BuyYes71¢ | $1 |
| 643d | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025? | SellNo99¢ | $50 |
| 644d | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025? | BuyNo100¢ | $50 |
| 644d | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | BuyYes99¢ | $200 |
| 644d | Was Trump hacked? | BuyNo93¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.