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Polymarket wallet 0xf8807428e036193abee347a51048c4e1a758135d · on Polymarket since Sep 26, 2024 · also shown as Dangerous-Newsletter
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 797 | 15¢ → 8¢ | $64 | −$59 −48% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 100 | 72¢ → 54¢ | $54 | −$18 −25% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 10 | 50¢ → 79¢ | $8 | +$3 +59% |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026Ends in 69d | Yes | 69 | 19¢ → 10¢ | $7 | −$6 −50% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 10 | 50¢ → 21¢ | $2 | −$3 −59% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SellYes20¢ | $85 |
| 7d | Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BuyYes25¢ | $113 |
| 17d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $0 |
| 17d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $8 |
| 17d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $1 |
| 17d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $0 |
| 17d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $1 |
| 17d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $0 |
| 17d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $0 |
| 18d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes15¢ | $24 |
| 20d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes15¢ | $27 |
| 20d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $4 |
| 20d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $1 |
| 20d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $0 |
| 20d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $18 |
| 20d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $1 |
| 20d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $0 |
| 21d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $2 |
| 21d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $3 |
| 21d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $3 |
| 21d | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $31 |
| 91d | Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BuyNo35¢ | $24 |
| 91d | Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BuyNo35¢ | $14 |
| 91d | Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BuyNo36¢ | $108 |
| 91d | Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BuyNo38¢ | $20 |
| 100d | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | Buy26¢ | $5 |
| 102d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes17¢ | $320 |
| 102d | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | Buy29¢ | $5 |
| 105d | Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | Buy22¢ | $5 |
| 107d | France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Spread: France (-1.5) | Buy25¢ | $5 |
| 107d | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: France (-1.5) AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | Buy8¢ | $5 |
| 107d | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BuyNo72¢ | $59 |
| 107d | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BuyNo72¢ | $13 |
| 108d | Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BuyNo96¢ | $2,012 |
| 108d | Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5 AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | Buy21¢ | $5 |
| 108d | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SellNo82¢ | $193 |
| 108d | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BuyNo82¢ | $157 |
| 108d | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BuyNo82¢ | $7 |
| 109d | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BuyNo62¢ | $10 |
| 109d | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SellYes43¢ | $85 |
| 109d | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BuyYes50¢ | $102 |
| 109d | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BuyNo75¢ | $15 |
| 109d | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyNo97¢ | $2,002 |
| 109d | Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 AND United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5 AND United States vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime? AND Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime? | Buy16¢ | $41 |
| 109d | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 AND United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | Buy25¢ | $5 |
| 110d | Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | Buy25¢ | $5 |
| 111d | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Paraguay vs. France: Draw at halftime? | Buy22¢ | $1 |
| 111d | Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | SellYes7¢ | $1 |
| 111d | Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BuyYes9¢ | $1 |
| 111d | Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Buy17¢ | $5 |
| 112d | Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | Buy27¢ | $5 |
| 114d | Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 0.5 AND Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Buy23¢ | $5 |
| 114d | Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score AND United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 | Buy22¢ | $5 |
| 116d | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | Buy16¢ | $5 |
| 116d | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes6¢ | $192 |
| 116d | Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 AND Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Buy19¢ | $5 |
| 118d | Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5 AND Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? AND Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Buy9¢ | $5 |
| 119d | Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 1.5 AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? AND Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Buy17¢ | $5 |
| 120d | Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Buy14¢ | $5 |
| 121d | Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Buy27¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.