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Polymarket wallet 0xfa94e421ec775191129ec25456114cfbb6b2afaa · on Polymarket since Aug 19, 2025 · also shown as Optimistic-Casserole
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11h | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23? | Buy<1¢ | $1 |
| 1d | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-22? AND Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-22? | Buy<1¢ | $1 |
| 1d | Will Al Sadd SC win on 2026-10-22? AND Will Al Gharafa SC win on 2026-10-22? | Buy<1¢ | $1 |
| 1d | UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Prelims) AND UFC 333: Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims) AND UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims) | Buy7¢ | $5 |
| 2d | UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) AND UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) AND UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) AND UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims) | Buy2¢ | $5 |
| 2d | Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5) AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | Buy<1¢ | $1 |
| 7d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BuyDown2¢ | $1 |
| 7d | LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | BuyMVK Esports<1¢ | $2 |
| 10d | Dana White's Contender Series: Aline Pereira vs. Smilla Sundell (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Jason Asher vs. Greg Foster (Featherweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Will Rentz vs. Luis Francischinelli (Welterweight, Main Card) | Buy2¢ | $10 |
| 13d | UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims) | Buy1¢ | $5 |
| 20d | UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card) AND UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | Buy5¢ | $25 |
| 34d | UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims) AND UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims) AND UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | Buy1¢ | $20 |
| 34d | UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims) AND UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) AND UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims) AND UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | Buy1¢ | $20 |
| 34d | UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) AND UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims) AND UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | Buy3¢ | $20 |
| 63d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp16¢ | $1 |
| 67d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BuyUp43¢ | $1 |
| 72d | UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims) AND UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims) AND UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) AND UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | Buy2¢ | $3 |
| 72d | UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims) AND UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims) AND UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) AND UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | Buy11¢ | $3 |
| 72d | UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims) AND UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims) AND UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) AND UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | Buy1¢ | $3 |
| 108d | UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims) | BuyElisha Ellison9¢ | $5 |
| 108d | UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) | BuyKamaru Usman30¢ | $31 |
| 108d | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BuyConor McGregor34¢ | $61 |
| 108d | Fight to Go the Distance? AND Fight to Go the Distance? AND Fight to Go the Distance? AND Fight to Go the Distance? | Buy8¢ | $17 |
| 108d | UFC 329: Cody Durden vs. Alessandro Costa (Flyweight, Early Prelims) AND UFC 329: Ethyn Ewing vs. Farid Basharat (Bantamweight, Early Prelims) AND UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims) AND UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | Buy15¢ | $10 |
| 108d | UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims) AND UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims) AND UFC 329: Ethyn Ewing vs. Farid Basharat (Bantamweight, Early Prelims) AND UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims) AND UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims) AND UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | Buy6¢ | $20 |
| 122d | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
| 122d | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | BuyYes6¢ | $5 |
| 125d | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | BuyYes35¢ | $2 |
| 125d | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | BuyYes4¢ | $2 |
| 127d | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 129d | Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 131d | UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | BuyJustin Gaethje21¢ | $102 |
| 161d | Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 161d | Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 161d | Will Trump Insult Xi this week? | BuyYes2¢ | $2 |
| 161d | Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | BuyYes2¢ | $3 |
| 161d | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BuyYes3¢ | $3 |
| 212d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BuyDown6¢ | $7 |
| 212d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BuyDown3¢ | $5 |
| 273d | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 273d | Will Trump shake hands with Keir Starmer at the World Economic Forum? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 273d | Will Trump shake hands with Ursula von der Leyen at the World Economic Forum? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 273d | Will Trump shake hands with Mette Frederiksen at the World Economic Forum? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 273d | Will Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum? | BuyYes1¢ | $2 |
| 282d | Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 282d | Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 293d | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 298d | Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 327d | Will XRP dip to $2.00 November 24-30? | BuyYes10¢ | $1 |
| 327d | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on December 1? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 327d | Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on December 1? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 327d | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on December 1? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 327d | Will Solana dip to $120 in November? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 401d | Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30? | BuyNo<1¢ | $2 |
| 419d | Nevada vs. Penn State | BuyNevada<1¢ | $1 |
| 427d | Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31? | BuyNo22¢ | $1 |
| 428d | Will Elon tweet 300–324 times August 15–August 22? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 428d | Will Elon tweet 275–299 times August 15–August 22? | BuyYes6¢ | $1 |
| 428d | Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 428d | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.