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Polymarket wallet 0xfe2fd412bd4ed33ac6741d0d6669ad1dd0cca3d0 · on Polymarket since Oct 22, 2024 · also shown as Alarmed-Journey
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 719d | GPT-5 released in 2024? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 723d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 729d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 729d | GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%? | BuyYes3¢ | $11 |
| 729d | GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%? | BuyYes2¢ | $11 |
| 729d | GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%? | BuyYes1¢ | $11 |
| 729d | GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more? | BuyYes4¢ | $15 |
| 731d | Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies? | BuyYes2¢ | $3 |
| 731d | Will Qualcomm acquire Intel? | BuyYes2¢ | $2 |
| 731d | Category 5 hurricane hits US before election? | BuyYes2¢ | $5 |
| 731d | 10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $2 |
| 731d | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyYes5¢ | $5 |
| 731d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting? | BuyYes5¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.