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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerry-Lynne Findlay | 5% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 4¢ · 6¢ (2¢) | — | in 159d |
| Pam Alexis | 5% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 7¢ (4¢) | — | in 159d |
| Lakhwinder Jhaj | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 159d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d | pagliacci4 | Pam Alexis | BuyNo92¢ → 95¢ | $2,004 | +$71 +3.5% | 10 |
| 31d | mirand2 fills | Kerry-Lynne Findlay | BuyNo95¢ | $4,422 | +$2 +0.0% | 10 |
| 31d | Addarash | Pam Alexis | BuyNo91¢ → 95¢ | $1,808 | +$81 +4.5% | 10 |
| 32d | Kerry-Lynne Findlay | BuyNo85¢ → 95¢ | $1,572 | +$195 +12% | 10 | |
| 33d | StraddleSeller | Pam Alexis | BuyNo54¢ → 95¢ | $3,801 | +$2,846 +75% | 10 |
| 33d | KiernanMeister | Pam Alexis | BuyYes50¢ → 5¢ | $4,899 | −$4,422 −90% | 10 |
| 33d | Pam Alexis | BuyNo55¢ → 95¢ | $1,857 | +$1,368 +74% | 10 | |
| 34d | Kerry-Lynne Findlay | SellNo73¢ → 95¢ | $2,202 | −$665 −30% | — |
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for Kerry-Lynne Findlay means the market gives it about 5%.